Don’t be depressed by long range forecasts

Some folks who saw my last entry groaned when they saw the Environment Canada forecast showing a week of wet weather. That was two days ago. Here is what often happens. [If you don’t see the rest of the article, and the new long range forecast, click on the title… ]

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My theory is that most people consider a forecast of precipitation to be bad.

And a forecast of bluebird sunny weather to be good.

I suspect that the forecasters at Environment Canada hear less criticism when they forecast rain, and then it turns out sunny, than when they announce sun and then we experience a downpour.

It seems to me that this has resulted in forecasts that tend to be gloomier than necessary.

Compare Tuesday’s 5-Day forecast (posted at the end of my last blog entry) with today’s (Thursday)…
Forecast for Thursday to Monday from Environment Canada

Speaking scientifically, this is not proof of anything. It is just an anecdote.

If you like sunny weather, then this new forecast seems more cheerful.

If there is something to be learned here it is that if you really need to know more about the upcoming weather, you should acquire some good data and make your own forecast. Begin here.

Some of us are now planning to go sailing on Sunday.



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