Season’s snow forecast | La Niña or ENSO

It has been a lovely autumn. A week ago when we hiked Brohm Ridge the sun sparkled on the high altitude fresh snow. Then the sun vanished. This week there is rain, and no sun, in the 5-day forecast. The good news is that it is snowing at 6,000 feet in the hills. For those of us who like to ski in the backcountry, what weather and snow conditions can we expect for the 2008/2009 winter? Last year we thought that the main influence for the long range forecast was La Niña. The condition we are reading about now is called ENSO-Neutral. (ENSO means El Niño/Southern Oscillation).

This morning the weather station on Pam Rocks (in the middle of Howe Sound) reports that at sea level the temperature is 8º C, and the wind is North 25 km/hr. It is raining softly.

Here is the summary outlook for non-technical users. The Maps are here. That information will change so check those links during the season. Looking at it now, it is going to be a warm winter in the middle of North America. Frankly, there seems to be nothing unusual expected for the mountains around the Salish Sea and the Rockies. Que Sera, Sera.

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